Runcorn and Helsby By-Election 2025
- May 1, 2025, Runcorn and Helsby, UK
If you were a fan of the hit British TV show Two Pints of Lager and a Packet of Crisps, you would know a little about the area that said show was set in: Runcorn.
For people who aren’t fans of the show, it is an unassuming small town in the northwest of the UK, which shares a border with Helsby.
So, why are these small towns the focus of so much attention in 2025? Well, there is a by-election coming up, and with all the shifts in UK politics, it is likely that these areas will be the first to display the changes that may be coming with the General Election in 2029.
So, if you are keen to get a peek into who is predicted to win the by-election, or you simply want to know a bit more about the politics in the UK, read on, as everything you need to know is right here.
William Hill odds of 1.57 predict a 63.64% chance that Reform UK will win the Runcorn and Helsby By-Election in 2025::: Discover the current Odds now HERE
Politics in the UK in 2025
At the time of writing, in the UK, the party in power is Labour, which is headed by Keir Starmer.
Starmer won the election in 2024, but a few months into his career as PM, a petition appeared online, as fans of the Labour Party and the opposition wanted an early General Election, as they felt Starmer had broken campaign promises.
This highlighted how unpopular Labour was, leading to the rise of parties like Reform UK, which Nigel Farage heads. With the Runcorn and Helsby by-election coming up and with Reform UK candidate Sarah Pochin standing for it, it could show how the politics of the UK may be set to change.
As for the Runcorn and Helby by-election, it is expected to take place on May 1, 2025. This comes after the MP for Runcorn and Helsby, MP Mike Amesbury, was convicted of assault.
Candidates for Runcorn and Helsby By-Election
Of course, there is more than one political party in the UK that wants to win this seat.
Labour has announced that Karen Shore will be their candidate. The Conservatives have announced that Sean Houlston will be theirs, and the Green Party has put forward Chris Copeman.
Which Political Party is Likely To Win?
Prior to the arrest and resignation of MP Mike Amesbury, the polls showed that Labour was incredibly popular in Runcorn and Helsby, with a 52.9 percent approval rating. This has since dropped to 35 percent and has been overtaken. By whom? Reform UK.
The Reform lead is now at 42 percent and has risen nine points since July 2024, so it seems likely that this party will win the Runcorn and Helsby by-election. This reflects a growing trend towards Reform UK in the country, even though another poll on YouGov displayed that one-third of Reform UK supporters feel that a change of leadership to the party would be beneficial.
Who Can Vote in the Runcorn and Helsby By-Election?
The vote for the Runcorn and Helsby by-election requires the following from the voting electorate:
- Voters must be aged 18 years of age or older at the time of the election
- They have to be a citizen of the UK, the Republic of Ireland, or a qualifying Commonwealth citizen
- They must be registered to vote in Runcorn or Helsby
If you think that Labour will be able to maintain their seat in the Runcorn and Helsby By-Election, you could win $230 by betting $100 at William Hill if they do.
