How to Bet on the Billboard Music Awards by Analyzing the Charts

The Billboard Music Awards honor outstanding chart performances each year. By looking at the Billboard charts in various genres leading up to the award show, you can make informed bets on which artists and songs will take home the coveted awards. This guide will walk you through how to analyze the charts to make smart Billboard Music Award bets.

Study the Billboard Hot 100

The Billboard Hot 100 chart tracks the top songs across all genres each week. Look at the songs that have spent multiple weeks at number one or in the top 10 on this chart in the eligibility period, as these are likely to be nominated for and win Top Hot 100 Song.

Additionally, look for artists with multiple songs charting high on the Hot 100, as they are probable contenders for Top Artist. Watch for collaborations between top artists, as these joint hits often get nominated for and win Top Collaboration.

Check Other Billboard Genre Charts

Beyond the Hot 100, Billboard has over 100 other genre-specific charts. Spend time studying the number one hits on charts like Hot Country Songs, Hot Rock Songs, Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs, Dance/Electronic Songs, and others. The artists consistently hitting number one on genre charts tend to take home genre-specific awards at the Billboard Music Awards.

Notice which songs are crossing over from their original genre charts onto the all-genre Hot 100. Crossover hits often triumph in the top categories at the Billboard Music Awards.

Research Radio Airplay

Billboard factors radio airplay data into its charts. Check out Billboard’s Radio Songs chart, which tracks radio plays across all genres. Songs that rank highly on this chart tend to be the most ubiquitous radio hits of the year, making them strong candidates for major Billboard Music Awards.

Also, look at genre-specific radio airplay charts like Country Airplay, Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay, and more. Dominant radio hits in a particular genre are likely to win in related Billboard Music Award genres.

Consider Streaming and Sales

Along with radio airplay, Billboard charts incorporate streaming from platforms like YouTube, Spotify, and Apple Music. They also track digital song sales.

Be on the lookout for massive crossover streaming smashes that permeate culture. Watch for surprise sleeper hits that gain traction on streaming but not on radio. Analyze songs that sell well digitally despite not topping the charts. These data points can indicate underdog contenders to bet on for Billboard Music Awards success.

Make Predictions

Once you’ve studied the charts, compile your analysis into Billboard Music Award predictions and betting choices. Which artists do you think will win Top Artist and Top New Artist based on their chart dominance? Which songs will take home Top Hot 100 Song and Top Collaboration?

Dig into genre awards, too. Who do you predict to win Top Country Artist or Top Rock Song based on genre-specific chart performance? Consider betting long-shot odds on a rising act you noticed emerging on streaming.

Adjust Based on Odds

As award show night nears, betting odds for Billboard Music Awards will be released. Cross-check these odds against your predictions. This can reveal smart betting opportunities.

Maybe you predicted an underdog to win based on their sleeper streaming hit, but they’re a long-shot in the actual betting odds. That could be a strategic wager. Or perhaps a seeming frontrunner has shorter odds than you expected, so betting on an upset could pay off. Let the odds guide your final wagers.

Helpful Resources

Billboard publishes all their charts online each week. You can see the top songs, albums, and artists in different genres. They also have archives so you can see the charts from previous weeks within the eligibility period. The Billboard Breakdown weekly blog analyzes the changes on the Billboard charts. They discuss which songs are moving up, which are dropping, and potential chart impacts of new releases. This is great for tracking momentum.

Other helpful resources to monitor in the lead up to the Billboard Music Awards include:

• Chart Data Twitter (X) account
• YouTube Charts
• Spotify Charts
• Music trade publications
• Music blogs/vlogs
• Social media tracking

Analyzing the full range of Billboard charts in the eligibility period – from the flagship Hot 100 to genre and radio charts – is the key to making informed bets. Notice chart-topping crossover hits, surprise streaming smashes, and genre leaders. Combine your chart analysis with betting odds to make strategic wagers on Billboard Music Awards winners. This approach will help you bet on music’s biggest night like a pro.